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Political Scientist Looks at the Polls, Schilling's Victory
(IRN) -- A political scientist says a couple of upsets surprised him, most of them didn’t, and that one new congressman should stick with renting, rather than buying.

Kent Redfield, professor emeritus at the University of Illinois at Springfield, says the biggest shocker of the election was the presumed win by Republican Joe Walsh over Cong. Melissa Bean (D-Barrington). He says the biggest problem was that Bean "woke up just in time to see the truck run over her."

Another surprise was Gov. Pat Quinn beating Republican Bill Brady. Redfield suspects that suburban Chicago voters were wood by Quinn's political commercials that pushed Brady's conservative views on guns, abortion, and education. Redfield said, "They did a good job of making Brady look scary." As for Democrat losses in the state legislature, Redfield says that was bound to happen, since downstate Illinois is becoming more Republicans with each election.

His advice for Republican Bobby Schilling, who is ahead of Cong. Phil Hare (D-Rock Island)? Don't buy a house in Washington D.C. Redfield says with Illinois expected to lose a congressional seat, ruling Democrats in Illinois will likely spread other Republican districts over Hare's former district, meaning Schilling would have to run against an established Republican in his next campaign, and likely lose.

(Illinois Radio Network)
11 08 10 by Newsroom
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